Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's 16 qualifiers including powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, and Portugal, bolstered by recent EURO 2024 success and Nations League form that underscore their depth and tactical edge over the expanded 48-team field. South America's 21% follows from CONMEBOL securing six direct spots for Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, maintaining their pedigree despite grueling qualifiers. North America's slim 2.5% acknowledges host advantages for USA, Canada, and Mexico amid CONCACAF's additional berths, but lacks precedent for continental triumph. Recent March playoffs finalized the field—Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy highlights Europe's resilience, while inter-confederation wins by Congo DR and Iraq add minor diversity without shifting elite balance. Africa's nine qualifiers, led by Morocco's 2022 semi-final run, cap at 2.3% absent a title breakthrough.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 FIFA Dünya Kupası'nı hangi kıta kazanacak?
2026 FIFA Dünya Kupası'nı hangi kıta kazanacak?
Avrupa 73%
Güney Amerika 21%
Kuzey Amerika 2.5%
Afrika 2.3%
$1,622,337 Hac.
$1,622,337 Hac.
Avrupa
73%
Güney Amerika
21%
Kuzey Amerika
2%
Afrika
2%
Asya
2%
Okyanusya
<1%
Avrupa 73%
Güney Amerika 21%
Kuzey Amerika 2.5%
Afrika 2.3%
$1,622,337 Hac.
$1,622,337 Hac.
Avrupa
$66,365 Hac.
73%
Güney Amerika
$61,789 Hac.
21%
Kuzey Amerika
$169,805 Hac.
2%
Afrika
$923,597 Hac.
2%
Asya
$190,685 Hac.
2%
Okyanusya
$210,097 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's 16 qualifiers including powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, and Portugal, bolstered by recent EURO 2024 success and Nations League form that underscore their depth and tactical edge over the expanded 48-team field. South America's 21% follows from CONMEBOL securing six direct spots for Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, maintaining their pedigree despite grueling qualifiers. North America's slim 2.5% acknowledges host advantages for USA, Canada, and Mexico amid CONCACAF's additional berths, but lacks precedent for continental triumph. Recent March playoffs finalized the field—Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy highlights Europe's resilience, while inter-confederation wins by Congo DR and Iraq add minor diversity without shifting elite balance. Africa's nine qualifiers, led by Morocco's 2022 semi-final run, cap at 2.3% absent a title breakthrough.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Hacim
$1,622,337Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's 16 qualifiers including powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, and Portugal, bolstered by recent EURO 2024 success and Nations League form that underscore their depth and tactical edge over the expanded 48-team field. South America's 21% follows from CONMEBOL securing six direct spots for Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, maintaining their pedigree despite grueling qualifiers. North America's slim 2.5% acknowledges host advantages for USA, Canada, and Mexico amid CONCACAF's additional berths, but lacks precedent for continental triumph. Recent March playoffs finalized the field—Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy highlights Europe's resilience, while inter-confederation wins by Congo DR and Iraq add minor diversity without shifting elite balance. Africa's nine qualifiers, led by Morocco's 2022 semi-final run, cap at 2.3% absent a title breakthrough.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,622,337Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's 16 qualifiers including powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, and Portugal, bolstered by recent EURO 2024 success and Nations League form that underscore their depth and tactical edge over the expanded 48-team field. South America's 21% follows from CONMEBOL securing six direct spots for Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, maintaining their pedigree despite grueling qualifiers. North America's slim 2.5% acknowledges host advantages for USA, Canada, and Mexico amid CONCACAF's additional berths, but lacks precedent for continental triumph. Recent March playoffs finalized the field—Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy highlights Europe's resilience, while inter-confederation wins by Congo DR and Iraq add minor diversity without shifting elite balance. Africa's nine qualifiers, led by Morocco's 2022 semi-final run, cap at 2.3% absent a title breakthrough.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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