Polymarket traders price a 93.9% implied probability that Netflix (NFLX) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $12.17 billion in revenue (+15% year-over-year) and $0.76 earnings per share, reflecting strong skin-in-the-game conviction amid robust subscriber growth to 325 million, surging ad-tier adoption targeting $3 billion in 2026 revenue, and recent U.S. price hikes boosting monetization. Analyst upgrades from Wedbush ($118 target) and Goldman Sachs (Buy, $120) cite ad momentum and a $2.8 billion Warner Bros. deal breakup fee enhancing free cash flow for buybacks, aligning closely with Netflix's $12.16 billion revenue guidance. While consensus holds firm given NFLX's track record of beats, risks include elevated content spending (up 10% to ~$20 billion annually) or unexpected subscriber slowdowns from competition. Earnings report due after market close today, April 16.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNetflix Inc (NFLX) üç aylık kazançları geçecek mi?
Netflix Inc (NFLX) üç aylık kazançları geçecek mi?
$14,896 Hac.
$14,896 Hac.
$14,896 Hac.
$14,896 Hac.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 93.9% implied probability that Netflix (NFLX) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $12.17 billion in revenue (+15% year-over-year) and $0.76 earnings per share, reflecting strong skin-in-the-game conviction amid robust subscriber growth to 325 million, surging ad-tier adoption targeting $3 billion in 2026 revenue, and recent U.S. price hikes boosting monetization. Analyst upgrades from Wedbush ($118 target) and Goldman Sachs (Buy, $120) cite ad momentum and a $2.8 billion Warner Bros. deal breakup fee enhancing free cash flow for buybacks, aligning closely with Netflix's $12.16 billion revenue guidance. While consensus holds firm given NFLX's track record of beats, risks include elevated content spending (up 10% to ~$20 billion annually) or unexpected subscriber slowdowns from competition. Earnings report due after market close today, April 16.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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