Russian forces continue incremental assaults southeast of Kupyansk toward the key railway junction at Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi in Kharkiv Oblast, but ISW assessments through April 14 confirm no advances into the settlement or capture of its coordinates (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E), which would resolve Polymarket affirmatively. Ukrainian defenders have repelled attacks near Kivsharivka and cleared Russian pockets in Kupyansk city center, leveraging Oskil River fortifications and drone surveillance amid contested terrain. Over the past 30 days, marginal Russian gains east of Petropavlivka stalled against Ukrainian counteractions, with pro-Russian bloggers acknowledging limited progress. Improving spring weather may intensify operations, though historical patterns show slow frontline movement in this sector.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
$69,056 Hac.

April 30
3%
$69,056 Hac.

April 30
3%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi+1.png
Train Station Location in Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi+2.png
Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2DWkLwtmD3dTUGbc8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 30, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi+1.png
Train Station Location in Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi+2.png
Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2DWkLwtmD3dTUGbc8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental assaults southeast of Kupyansk toward the key railway junction at Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi in Kharkiv Oblast, but ISW assessments through April 14 confirm no advances into the settlement or capture of its coordinates (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E), which would resolve Polymarket affirmatively. Ukrainian defenders have repelled attacks near Kivsharivka and cleared Russian pockets in Kupyansk city center, leveraging Oskil River fortifications and drone surveillance amid contested terrain. Over the past 30 days, marginal Russian gains east of Petropavlivka stalled against Ukrainian counteractions, with pro-Russian bloggers acknowledging limited progress. Improving spring weather may intensify operations, though historical patterns show slow frontline movement in this sector.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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