Virginia Democrats' proposed constitutional amendment, allowing the General Assembly to temporarily draw new congressional districts for the 2026 midterms ahead of the independent Redistricting Commission's 2031 review, leads trader consensus at 85.5% Yes on Polymarket despite polls showing narrower margins. Recent Quantus Insights polling on April 16 found 51% support among registered voters, dipping only slightly to 50% after details on the map's partisan lean, while State Navigate's April 13 survey showed 51-45 Yes among likely voters. Robust early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots as of April 16—strongest in Democratic Northern Virginia districts like CD-10 and CD-11—has narrowed Republicans' initial rural advantage, fueling optimism amid heavy Democratic spending and national endorsements. With Election Day April 21, low-turnout special elections historically favor urban mobilization, though GOP rural canvassing could tip the closely contested ballot measure.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$434,399 Hac.
$434,399 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
Evet
$434,399 Hac.
$434,399 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia Democrats' proposed constitutional amendment, allowing the General Assembly to temporarily draw new congressional districts for the 2026 midterms ahead of the independent Redistricting Commission's 2031 review, leads trader consensus at 85.5% Yes on Polymarket despite polls showing narrower margins. Recent Quantus Insights polling on April 16 found 51% support among registered voters, dipping only slightly to 50% after details on the map's partisan lean, while State Navigate's April 13 survey showed 51-45 Yes among likely voters. Robust early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots as of April 16—strongest in Democratic Northern Virginia districts like CD-10 and CD-11—has narrowed Republicans' initial rural advantage, fueling optimism amid heavy Democratic spending and national endorsements. With Election Day April 21, low-turnout special elections historically favor urban mobilization, though GOP rural canvassing could tip the closely contested ballot measure.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Hacim
$434,399Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia Democrats' proposed constitutional amendment, allowing the General Assembly to temporarily draw new congressional districts for the 2026 midterms ahead of the independent Redistricting Commission's 2031 review, leads trader consensus at 85.5% Yes on Polymarket despite polls showing narrower margins. Recent Quantus Insights polling on April 16 found 51% support among registered voters, dipping only slightly to 50% after details on the map's partisan lean, while State Navigate's April 13 survey showed 51-45 Yes among likely voters. Robust early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots as of April 16—strongest in Democratic Northern Virginia districts like CD-10 and CD-11—has narrowed Republicans' initial rural advantage, fueling optimism amid heavy Democratic spending and national endorsements. With Election Day April 21, low-turnout special elections historically favor urban mobilization, though GOP rural canvassing could tip the closely contested ballot measure.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Hacim
$434,457Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia Democrats' proposed constitutional amendment, allowing the General Assembly to temporarily draw new congressional districts for the 2026 midterms ahead of the independent Redistricting Commission's 2031 review, leads trader consensus at 85.5% Yes on Polymarket despite polls showing narrower margins. Recent Quantus Insights polling on April 16 found 51% support among registered voters, dipping only slightly to 50% after details on the map's partisan lean, while State Navigate's April 13 survey showed 51-45 Yes among likely voters. Robust early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots as of April 16—strongest in Democratic Northern Virginia districts like CD-10 and CD-11—has narrowed Republicans' initial rural advantage, fueling optimism amid heavy Democratic spending and national endorsements. With Election Day April 21, low-turnout special elections historically favor urban mobilization, though GOP rural canvassing could tip the closely contested ballot measure.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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