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icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Вибори·Початкова школа Каліфорнії

CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Вибори·Початкова школа Каліфорнії

CA-06 Primary Winners

$7,284 Обс.

Jun 1, 2026
Polymarket

$7,284 Обс.

Polymarket

Kevin Kiley

$899 Обс.

Yes

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 Обс.

No

Martha Guerrero

$614 Обс.

No

Michael Stansfield

$1,695 Обс.

No

Richard Pan

$612 Обс.

Yes

Thien Ho

$1,506 Обс.

No

Tyler Vandenberg

$945 Обс.

No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,284
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,284
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Пов'язане

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Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?

94%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-06 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Kevin Kiley» з 100%, далі «Richard Pan» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-06 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-06 Primary Winners», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-06 Primary Winners» — «Kevin Kiley» з 100%. Наступний — «Richard Pan» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-06 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.