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Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 90%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.0%

Carin Elam 4.1%

Wendy Huang 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Aisha Wahab 90%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.0%

Carin Elam 4.1%

Wendy Huang 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Aisha Wahab

$550 Обс.

76%

Melissa Hernandez

$325 Обс.

36%

Wendy Huang

$530 Обс.

4%

Carin Elam

$253 Обс.

4%

Matt Ortega

$226 Обс.

12%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$743 Обс.

9%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$220 Обс.

7%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest trader consensus in the CA-14 special election market due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and early primary results positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the heavily Democratic East Bay district. As a sitting state senator whose district overlaps the congressional seat vacated by Eric Swalwell, Wahab benefits from established name recognition and institutional support ahead of the June 16, 2026, top-two primary. Other Democratic contenders such as Melissa Hernandez trail in vote tallies and lack comparable party backing, while Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in a district that consistently favors Democrats in general elections. The August 18, 2026, general election, if required, is expected to follow the primary outcome given historical voting patterns.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$2,847
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest trader consensus in the CA-14 special election market due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and early primary results positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the heavily Democratic East Bay district. As a sitting state senator whose district overlaps the congressional seat vacated by Eric Swalwell, Wahab benefits from established name recognition and institutional support ahead of the June 16, 2026, top-two primary. Other Democratic contenders such as Melissa Hernandez trail in vote tallies and lack comparable party backing, while Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in a district that consistently favors Democrats in general elections. The August 18, 2026, general election, if required, is expected to follow the primary outcome given historical voting patterns.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$2,847
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Aisha Wahab» з 76%, далі «Melissa Hernandez» з 36%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 16, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-14 Special Election Winner?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — «Aisha Wahab» з 76%. Наступний — «Melissa Hernandez» з 36%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.