Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nominee shows a fragmented field, with Sen. Mark Kelly (18%) narrowly ahead of Govs. Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear (16.5% each) amid a crowded roster of governors, senators, and outsiders trading tightly between 14-16%. This reflects early-stage speculation post-2024, with no dominant presidential frontrunner yet emerging and probabilities spread across battleground-state performers like Kelly (Arizona swing-state appeal) and Beshear (red-state viability). Kelly's slight edge stems from recent viral messaging on affordability crises—highlighted in a personal anecdote about his daughter's housing struggles—and strong showings in youth polling for 2028 contention. Separation could arise from 2026 midterm results in key states, early presidential endorsements, or shifts in national polling averages as primaries approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDemocratic VP Nominee 2028
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Mark Kelly 18%
Gavin Newsom 16%
Andy Beshear 16%
James Talarico 16%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Pete Buttigieg
12%
Josh Shapiro
13%
Wes Moore
14%
Stephen A. Smith
5%
Kamala Harris
16%
Gretchen Whitmer
15%
Andy Beshear
16%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Mark Cuban
15%
J.B. Pritzker
14%
Raphael Warnock
14%
Cory Booker
15%
Tim Walz
15%
Michelle Obama
10%
Mark Kelly
18%
Rahm Emanuel
15%
Gina Raimondo
15%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
15%
John Fetterman
15%
Jared Polis
15%
Jon Stewart
15%
Barack Obama
12%
Hillary Clinton
15%
Liz Cheney
14%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Phil Murphy
14%
LeBron James
5%
Hunter Biden
10%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
8%
Oprah Winfrey
15%
Andrew Yang
15%
Beto O’Rourke
14%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
15%
Ruben Gallego
14%
Ro Khanna
15%
James Talarico
16%
Elissa Slotkin
15%
Mark Kelly 18%
Gavin Newsom 16%
Andy Beshear 16%
James Talarico 16%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Pete Buttigieg
12%
Josh Shapiro
13%
Wes Moore
14%
Stephen A. Smith
5%
Kamala Harris
16%
Gretchen Whitmer
15%
Andy Beshear
16%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Mark Cuban
15%
J.B. Pritzker
14%
Raphael Warnock
14%
Cory Booker
15%
Tim Walz
15%
Michelle Obama
10%
Mark Kelly
18%
Rahm Emanuel
15%
Gina Raimondo
15%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
15%
John Fetterman
15%
Jared Polis
15%
Jon Stewart
15%
Barack Obama
12%
Hillary Clinton
15%
Liz Cheney
14%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Phil Murphy
14%
LeBron James
5%
Hunter Biden
10%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
8%
Oprah Winfrey
15%
Andrew Yang
15%
Beto O’Rourke
14%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
15%
Ruben Gallego
14%
Ro Khanna
15%
James Talarico
16%
Elissa Slotkin
15%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nominee shows a fragmented field, with Sen. Mark Kelly (18%) narrowly ahead of Govs. Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear (16.5% each) amid a crowded roster of governors, senators, and outsiders trading tightly between 14-16%. This reflects early-stage speculation post-2024, with no dominant presidential frontrunner yet emerging and probabilities spread across battleground-state performers like Kelly (Arizona swing-state appeal) and Beshear (red-state viability). Kelly's slight edge stems from recent viral messaging on affordability crises—highlighted in a personal anecdote about his daughter's housing struggles—and strong showings in youth polling for 2028 contention. Separation could arise from 2026 midterm results in key states, early presidential endorsements, or shifts in national polling averages as primaries approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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