The 2028 Democratic vice presidential nominee market reflects a fragmented field where no single contender exceeds low double-digit implied probability, driven by the absence of a presumptive presidential nominee and limited early positioning two years after the prior cycle. Leading names such as Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hold modest edges tied to statewide executive records and national visibility within the party base, while others like Elissa Slotkin and Jon Ossoff draw support from Senate experience in competitive states. Traders appear focused on factors including geographic balance for Electoral College math, ideological fit with the eventual presidential candidate, and fundraising or polling strength in battleground areas. Upcoming midterms, primary debates, and any early endorsement patterns could shift probabilities as the field narrows closer to convention timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGretchen Whitmer 10.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Jon Ossoff 5.7%
Elissa Slotkin 5.6%
$93,470 Обс.
$93,470 Обс.
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
James Talarico
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
LeBron James
4%
Mark Kelly
4%
Wes Moore
3%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Barack Obama
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
George Clooney
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Gretchen Whitmer 10.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Jon Ossoff 5.7%
Elissa Slotkin 5.6%
$93,470 Обс.
$93,470 Обс.
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
James Talarico
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
LeBron James
4%
Mark Kelly
4%
Wes Moore
3%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Barack Obama
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
George Clooney
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2028 Democratic vice presidential nominee market reflects a fragmented field where no single contender exceeds low double-digit implied probability, driven by the absence of a presumptive presidential nominee and limited early positioning two years after the prior cycle. Leading names such as Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hold modest edges tied to statewide executive records and national visibility within the party base, while others like Elissa Slotkin and Jon Ossoff draw support from Senate experience in competitive states. Traders appear focused on factors including geographic balance for Electoral College math, ideological fit with the eventual presidential candidate, and fundraising or polling strength in battleground areas. Upcoming midterms, primary debates, and any early endorsement patterns could shift probabilities as the field narrows closer to convention timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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