The fragmented pricing across dozens of names reflects a wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field nearly two years after the prior cycle, with no presumptive nominee yet to anchor vice-presidential speculation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to Gretchen Whitmer for her swing-state executive record and national visibility, followed by figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and various senators or governors valued for progressive base mobilization, Senate experience, or regional balance. Key differentiators include demonstrated performance in battleground electorates, alignment with party priorities on economic or social issues, and perceived ability to unify competing wings. Consolidation could occur through early endorsements, strong 2026 midterm results, or shifts in national polling that elevate a single presidential frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGretchen Whitmer 11.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
James Talarico 6.5%
Elissa Slotkin 6.0%
$93,611 Обс.
$93,611 Обс.
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
LeBron James
4%
Jon Stewart
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Wes Moore
3%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Gretchen Whitmer 11.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
James Talarico 6.5%
Elissa Slotkin 6.0%
$93,611 Обс.
$93,611 Обс.
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
LeBron James
4%
Jon Stewart
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Wes Moore
3%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented pricing across dozens of names reflects a wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field nearly two years after the prior cycle, with no presumptive nominee yet to anchor vice-presidential speculation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to Gretchen Whitmer for her swing-state executive record and national visibility, followed by figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and various senators or governors valued for progressive base mobilization, Senate experience, or regional balance. Key differentiators include demonstrated performance in battleground electorates, alignment with party priorities on economic or social issues, and perceived ability to unify competing wings. Consolidation could occur through early endorsements, strong 2026 midterm results, or shifts in national polling that elevate a single presidential frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання