The 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee market shows a fragmented field, with Marco Rubio holding a clear lead at 29.5% implied probability on the strength of his Senate tenure, foreign policy profile, and prior national ticket consideration. The next tier of contenders, including Marjorie Taylor Greene, J.D. Vance, Thomas Massie, and Elise Stefanik, each sit near 5%, underscoring limited early consolidation behind any alternative. Traders appear to be pricing in the wide range of possible 2028 presidential nominees and the extended timeline until convention dynamics take shape. Key variables that could shift probabilities include Senate voting records, alignment with party leadership on appropriations and confirmation processes, midterm performance, and any formal endorsements or campaign roles that elevate visibility ahead of primary season.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.0%
J.D. Vance 6%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,527 Обс.
$46,527 Обс.
Marco Rubio
30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
6%
J.D. Vance
6%
Thomas Massie
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Brian Kemp
4%
Rand Paul
4%
Donald Trump
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Kristi Noem
2%
Matt Gaetz
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Byron Donalds
2%
Eric Trump
2%
Katie Britt
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
John Thune
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.0%
J.D. Vance 6%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,527 Обс.
$46,527 Обс.
Marco Rubio
30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
6%
J.D. Vance
6%
Thomas Massie
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Brian Kemp
4%
Rand Paul
4%
Donald Trump
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Kristi Noem
2%
Matt Gaetz
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Byron Donalds
2%
Eric Trump
2%
Katie Britt
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
John Thune
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tom Brady
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee market shows a fragmented field, with Marco Rubio holding a clear lead at 29.5% implied probability on the strength of his Senate tenure, foreign policy profile, and prior national ticket consideration. The next tier of contenders, including Marjorie Taylor Greene, J.D. Vance, Thomas Massie, and Elise Stefanik, each sit near 5%, underscoring limited early consolidation behind any alternative. Traders appear to be pricing in the wide range of possible 2028 presidential nominees and the extended timeline until convention dynamics take shape. Key variables that could shift probabilities include Senate voting records, alignment with party leadership on appropriations and confirmation processes, midterm performance, and any formal endorsements or campaign roles that elevate visibility ahead of primary season.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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