Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 1?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 1?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$73,994 Обс.
$73,994 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$73,994 Обс.
$73,994 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
18°C or below
$3,131 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,616 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,540 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,964 Обс.
No
22°C
$8,093 Обс.
No
23°C
$17,460 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$16,445 Обс.
No
25°C
$10,590 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,772 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,337 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$2,046 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$73,994Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$73,994Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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