Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 8?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 Обс.
$125,174 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 Обс.
$125,174 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
$2,782 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,790 Обс.
No
20°C
$28,753 Обс.
No
21°C
$14,182 Обс.
No
22°C
$26,141 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$26,500 Обс.
No
24°C
$9,723 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,432 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,572 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,684 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$3,615 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$125,174Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$125,174Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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