Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 16?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Обс.
$102,217 Обс.
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Обс.
$102,217 Обс.
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
$686 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,566 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,227 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,932 Обс.
No
18°C
$5,186 Обс.
No
19°C
$17,060 Обс.
No
20°C
$9,920 Обс.
No
21°C
$27,084 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$12,491 Обс.
No
23°C
$16,569 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$5,494 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$102,217Дата завершення
Apr 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$102,217Дата завершення
Apr 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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