Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 25?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,990 Обс.
$103,990 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,990 Обс.
$103,990 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
10°C or below
$1,273 Обс.
No
11°C
$1,466 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,295 Обс.
No
13°C
$2,083 Обс.
No
14°C
$24,017 Обс.
No
15°C
$9,108 Обс.
No
16°C
$10,668 Обс.
No
17°C
$12,861 Обс.
No
18°C
$18,804 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$11,767 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$10,649 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$103,990Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$103,990Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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