Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on July 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 15?
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$122,029 Обс.
$122,029 Обс.
Jul 15, 2026
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$122,029 Обс.
$122,029 Обс.
Jul 15, 2026
32°C or below
$39,397 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$18,735 Обс.
No
34°C
$16,611 Обс.
No
35°C
$16,350 Обс.
No
36°C
$15,844 Обс.
No
37°C
$7,903 Обс.
No
38°C
$3,205 Обс.
No
39°C
$3,502 Обс.
No
40°C
$132 Обс.
No
41°C
$127 Обс.
No
42°C or higher
$222 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$122,029Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$122,029Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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