Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 Обс.
$108,466 Обс.
May 12, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 Обс.
$108,466 Обс.
May 12, 2026
18°C or below
$6,647 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,309 Обс.
No
20°C
$6,249 Обс.
No
21°C
$6,772 Обс.
No
22°C
$8,641 Обс.
No
23°C
$7,433 Обс.
No
24°C
$23,072 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$19,283 Обс.
No
26°C
$12,333 Обс.
No
27°C
$8,243 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$7,484 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$108,466Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$108,466Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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