Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on July 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 13?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,354 Обс.
$27,354 Обс.
Jul 13, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,354 Обс.
$27,354 Обс.
Jul 13, 2026
26°C or below
$524 Обс.
No
27°C
$540 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,251 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,537 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,146 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,348 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$2,784 Обс.
No
33°C
$3,674 Обс.
No
34°C
$3,200 Обс.
No
35°C
$857 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$495 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,354Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,354Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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