Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on July 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 24?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,241 Обс.
$42,241 Обс.
Jul 24, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,241 Обс.
$42,241 Обс.
Jul 24, 2026
25°C or below
$361 Обс.
No
26°C
$491 Обс.
No
27°C
$604 Обс.
No
28°C
$4,076 Обс.
No
29°C
$7,049 Обс.
No
30°C
$11,974 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$8,130 Обс.
No
32°C
$4,701 Обс.
No
33°C
$3,016 Обс.
No
34°C
$1,262 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$577 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,241Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,241Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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