A persistent heat dome over Texas, with high pressure suppressing clouds and precipitation, drives expectations for another day of extreme heat in Austin on August 26. Official forecasts from AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with the ongoing heatwave featuring recent daily peaks of 104–106°F. Market-implied odds split evenly between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins because traders weigh small uncertainties in exact peak timing, potential for isolated afternoon cloud build-up, and differences between official reporting stations such as Austin-Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry. Historical August averages near 101°F and the 106°F record for the date provide context, while any late-day steering changes or model adjustments could shift the final reading within the tightly contested range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 26?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 26?
102-103°F 48%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
48%
104-105°F
42%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 48%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
95°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$196 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$295 Обс.
2%
100-101°F
$263 Обс.
7%
102-103°F
$189 Обс.
48%
104-105°F
$201 Обс.
42%
106-107°F
$169 Обс.
8%
108-109°F
$27 Обс.
4%
110-111°F
$35 Обс.
<1%
112-113°F
$30 Обс.
<1%
114°F or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent heat dome over Texas, with high pressure suppressing clouds and precipitation, drives expectations for another day of extreme heat in Austin on August 26. Official forecasts from AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with the ongoing heatwave featuring recent daily peaks of 104–106°F. Market-implied odds split evenly between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins because traders weigh small uncertainties in exact peak timing, potential for isolated afternoon cloud build-up, and differences between official reporting stations such as Austin-Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry. Historical August averages near 101°F and the 106°F record for the date provide context, while any late-day steering changes or model adjustments could shift the final reading within the tightly contested range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,417Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent heat dome over Texas, with high pressure suppressing clouds and precipitation, drives expectations for another day of extreme heat in Austin on August 26. Official forecasts from AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with the ongoing heatwave featuring recent daily peaks of 104–106°F. Market-implied odds split evenly between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins because traders weigh small uncertainties in exact peak timing, potential for isolated afternoon cloud build-up, and differences between official reporting stations such as Austin-Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry. Historical August averages near 101°F and the 106°F record for the date provide context, while any late-day steering changes or model adjustments could shift the final reading within the tightly contested range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,417Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent heat dome over Texas, with high pressure suppressing clouds and precipitation, drives expectations for another day of extreme heat in Austin on August 26. Official forecasts from AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with the ongoing heatwave featuring recent daily peaks of 104–106°F. Market-implied odds split evenly between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins because traders weigh small uncertainties in exact peak timing, potential for isolated afternoon cloud build-up, and differences between official reporting stations such as Austin-Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry. Historical August averages near 101°F and the 106°F record for the date provide context, while any late-day steering changes or model adjustments could shift the final reading within the tightly contested range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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