**Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining extreme heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 104–105°F on August 25.** Multiple model runs and private forecasters converge on 100–104°F, reflecting limited cloud cover, low humidity, and light south winds that allow strong daytime heating without significant mixing or moisture. The 31% market weighting on 102–103°F versus 26.5% on 104–105°F captures the narrow uncertainty band typical when official guidance sits at the upper end of the 100–105°F envelope. Minor differences hinge on exact peak insolation timing, local urban heat effects around Austin stations, and any last-minute adjustments to wind or boundary-layer moisture in the morning model updates. With resolution expected within hours of the daily maximum, traders are closely tracking the next NWS point forecast revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 25?
102-103°F 53%
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 19%
100-101°F 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
95°F or below
4%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
19%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
6%
112-113°F
4%
114°F or higher
2%
102-103°F 53%
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 19%
100-101°F 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
95°F or below
$5 Обс.
4%
96-97°F
$14 Обс.
5%
98-99°F
$21 Обс.
9%
100-101°F
$38 Обс.
16%
102-103°F
$31 Обс.
32%
104-105°F
$5 Обс.
27%
106-107°F
$20 Обс.
19%
108-109°F
$5 Обс.
7%
110-111°F
$5 Обс.
6%
112-113°F
$0 Обс.
4%
114°F or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining extreme heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 104–105°F on August 25.** Multiple model runs and private forecasters converge on 100–104°F, reflecting limited cloud cover, low humidity, and light south winds that allow strong daytime heating without significant mixing or moisture. The 31% market weighting on 102–103°F versus 26.5% on 104–105°F captures the narrow uncertainty band typical when official guidance sits at the upper end of the 100–105°F envelope. Minor differences hinge on exact peak insolation timing, local urban heat effects around Austin stations, and any last-minute adjustments to wind or boundary-layer moisture in the morning model updates. With resolution expected within hours of the daily maximum, traders are closely tracking the next NWS point forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$145Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining extreme heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 104–105°F on August 25.** Multiple model runs and private forecasters converge on 100–104°F, reflecting limited cloud cover, low humidity, and light south winds that allow strong daytime heating without significant mixing or moisture. The 31% market weighting on 102–103°F versus 26.5% on 104–105°F captures the narrow uncertainty band typical when official guidance sits at the upper end of the 100–105°F envelope. Minor differences hinge on exact peak insolation timing, local urban heat effects around Austin stations, and any last-minute adjustments to wind or boundary-layer moisture in the morning model updates. With resolution expected within hours of the daily maximum, traders are closely tracking the next NWS point forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$145Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining extreme heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 104–105°F on August 25.** Multiple model runs and private forecasters converge on 100–104°F, reflecting limited cloud cover, low humidity, and light south winds that allow strong daytime heating without significant mixing or moisture. The 31% market weighting on 102–103°F versus 26.5% on 104–105°F captures the narrow uncertainty band typical when official guidance sits at the upper end of the 100–105°F envelope. Minor differences hinge on exact peak insolation timing, local urban heat effects around Austin stations, and any last-minute adjustments to wind or boundary-layer moisture in the morning model updates. With resolution expected within hours of the daily maximum, traders are closely tracking the next NWS point forecast revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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