Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 will likely fall between 24–28 °C as a heatwave ends, with trader consensus centering on 25–27 °C. Weakening high pressure, increasing Atlantic moisture, and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce uncertainty in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads show slight disagreements on timing of cooling advection, keeping the 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C outcomes nearly even. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide baseline context, while official updates from national meteorological services will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
26°C 30%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
25%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
25%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 will likely fall between 24–28 °C as a heatwave ends, with trader consensus centering on 25–27 °C. Weakening high pressure, increasing Atlantic moisture, and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce uncertainty in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads show slight disagreements on timing of cooling advection, keeping the 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C outcomes nearly even. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide baseline context, while official updates from national meteorological services will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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