Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum of around 16°C on August 24 amid mostly dry, settled conditions with sunny intervals and light winds, though some ensemble members allow for slightly cooler overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. This aligns with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows hover near 14°C, yet current model consensus favors above-average readings due to a mild southerly flow and limited cloud cover overnight. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C reflects traders weighing these forecasts against potential downward revisions in the final 48-hour model runs, while the low probability assigned to sub-12°C outcomes highlights the unlikelihood of significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range guidance from the Met Office or ECMWF over the next day will likely drive any further shifts in positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 24?
Lowest temperature in London on August 24?
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
38%
15°C
24%
16°C
12%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Обс.
5%
11°C
$4 Обс.
4%
12°C
$0 Обс.
6%
13°C
$25 Обс.
25%
14°C
$81 Обс.
38%
15°C
$0 Обс.
24%
16°C
$0 Обс.
12%
17°C
$0 Обс.
6%
18°C
$5 Обс.
2%
19°C
$5 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum of around 16°C on August 24 amid mostly dry, settled conditions with sunny intervals and light winds, though some ensemble members allow for slightly cooler overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. This aligns with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows hover near 14°C, yet current model consensus favors above-average readings due to a mild southerly flow and limited cloud cover overnight. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C reflects traders weighing these forecasts against potential downward revisions in the final 48-hour model runs, while the low probability assigned to sub-12°C outcomes highlights the unlikelihood of significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range guidance from the Met Office or ECMWF over the next day will likely drive any further shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum of around 16°C on August 24 amid mostly dry, settled conditions with sunny intervals and light winds, though some ensemble members allow for slightly cooler overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. This aligns with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows hover near 14°C, yet current model consensus favors above-average readings due to a mild southerly flow and limited cloud cover overnight. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C reflects traders weighing these forecasts against potential downward revisions in the final 48-hour model runs, while the low probability assigned to sub-12°C outcomes highlights the unlikelihood of significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range guidance from the Met Office or ECMWF over the next day will likely drive any further shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum of around 16°C on August 24 amid mostly dry, settled conditions with sunny intervals and light winds, though some ensemble members allow for slightly cooler overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. This aligns with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows hover near 14°C, yet current model consensus favors above-average readings due to a mild southerly flow and limited cloud cover overnight. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C reflects traders weighing these forecasts against potential downward revisions in the final 48-hour model runs, while the low probability assigned to sub-12°C outcomes highlights the unlikelihood of significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range guidance from the Met Office or ECMWF over the next day will likely drive any further shifts in positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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