Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position 13–15°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Paris on August 24, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. A cooling trend has strengthened over the past 48 hours as a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limit daytime heating while permitting greater nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. Climatological averages for late August place typical lows near 14–16°C, and the current guidance aligns closely with this range rather than signaling an anomalous cold outbreak or heat retention. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and Météo-France guidance for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
14°C 38%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
6%
12°C
9%
13°C
27%
14°C
38%
15°C
18%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
3%
14°C 38%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
$4 Обс.
6%
12°C
$0 Обс.
9%
13°C
$0 Обс.
27%
14°C
$0 Обс.
38%
15°C
$0 Обс.
18%
16°C
$0 Обс.
9%
17°C
$0 Обс.
6%
18°C
$0 Обс.
4%
19°C
$5 Обс.
5%
20°C
$5 Обс.
5%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position 13–15°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Paris on August 24, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. A cooling trend has strengthened over the past 48 hours as a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limit daytime heating while permitting greater nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. Climatological averages for late August place typical lows near 14–16°C, and the current guidance aligns closely with this range rather than signaling an anomalous cold outbreak or heat retention. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and Météo-France guidance for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$19Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position 13–15°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Paris on August 24, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. A cooling trend has strengthened over the past 48 hours as a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limit daytime heating while permitting greater nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. Climatological averages for late August place typical lows near 14–16°C, and the current guidance aligns closely with this range rather than signaling an anomalous cold outbreak or heat retention. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and Météo-France guidance for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position 13–15°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Paris on August 24, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. A cooling trend has strengthened over the past 48 hours as a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limit daytime heating while permitting greater nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. Climatological averages for late August place typical lows near 14–16°C, and the current guidance aligns closely with this range rather than signaling an anomalous cold outbreak or heat retention. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and Météo-France guidance for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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