Recent forecasts from Météo-France and models including ECMWF indicate cooler-than-average overnight conditions for Paris on August 22, 2026, following a mid-month heatwave, with trader consensus centering on an 11–13°C minimum. A passing frontal system and increased cloud cover with possible showers are suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling, steering minimum temperatures downward from typical August lows near 15°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 12°C as the most probable outcome, though slight model spread on exact timing of clearing skies keeps adjacent values viable. Proximity to resolution on this short-range forecast window heightens sensitivity to the next model runs and official bulletins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
12°C 47%
11°C 20%
13°C 19%
14°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
7%
10°C
3%
11°C
20%
12°C
47%
13°C
23%
14°C
8%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 47%
11°C 20%
13°C 19%
14°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
10°C
$33 Обс.
3%
11°C
$45 Обс.
20%
12°C
$1,089 Обс.
47%
13°C
$107 Обс.
23%
14°C
$43 Обс.
8%
15°C
$320 Обс.
3%
16°C
$5 Обс.
2%
17°C
$5 Обс.
2%
18°C
$68 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$13 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and models including ECMWF indicate cooler-than-average overnight conditions for Paris on August 22, 2026, following a mid-month heatwave, with trader consensus centering on an 11–13°C minimum. A passing frontal system and increased cloud cover with possible showers are suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling, steering minimum temperatures downward from typical August lows near 15°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 12°C as the most probable outcome, though slight model spread on exact timing of clearing skies keeps adjacent values viable. Proximity to resolution on this short-range forecast window heightens sensitivity to the next model runs and official bulletins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,728Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and models including ECMWF indicate cooler-than-average overnight conditions for Paris on August 22, 2026, following a mid-month heatwave, with trader consensus centering on an 11–13°C minimum. A passing frontal system and increased cloud cover with possible showers are suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling, steering minimum temperatures downward from typical August lows near 15°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 12°C as the most probable outcome, though slight model spread on exact timing of clearing skies keeps adjacent values viable. Proximity to resolution on this short-range forecast window heightens sensitivity to the next model runs and official bulletins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,728Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and models including ECMWF indicate cooler-than-average overnight conditions for Paris on August 22, 2026, following a mid-month heatwave, with trader consensus centering on an 11–13°C minimum. A passing frontal system and increased cloud cover with possible showers are suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling, steering minimum temperatures downward from typical August lows near 15°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 12°C as the most probable outcome, though slight model spread on exact timing of clearing skies keeps adjacent values viable. Proximity to resolution on this short-range forecast window heightens sensitivity to the next model runs and official bulletins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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