Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler, cloudier conditions over Paris by August 20, with overnight lows most likely settling near 15–16°C after an earlier heatwave. Light winds, possible early sprinkles, and reduced daytime heating from increased cloud cover are limiting radiative warming while promoting modest nighttime cooling under a fresh Atlantic air mass. These factors concentrate trader consensus on the 16°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C as secondary contenders, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 14°C or upside above 18°C in the final 48-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 20?
16°C 54%
15°C 24%
17°C 21%
18°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
24%
16°C
54%
17°C
21%
18°C
9%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 24%
17°C 21%
18°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$5 Обс.
1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
5%
14°C
$0 Обс.
5%
15°C
$0 Обс.
24%
16°C
$22 Обс.
54%
17°C
$0 Обс.
21%
18°C
$0 Обс.
9%
19°C
$4 Обс.
5%
20°C
$5 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$316 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler, cloudier conditions over Paris by August 20, with overnight lows most likely settling near 15–16°C after an earlier heatwave. Light winds, possible early sprinkles, and reduced daytime heating from increased cloud cover are limiting radiative warming while promoting modest nighttime cooling under a fresh Atlantic air mass. These factors concentrate trader consensus on the 16°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C as secondary contenders, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 14°C or upside above 18°C in the final 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$357Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler, cloudier conditions over Paris by August 20, with overnight lows most likely settling near 15–16°C after an earlier heatwave. Light winds, possible early sprinkles, and reduced daytime heating from increased cloud cover are limiting radiative warming while promoting modest nighttime cooling under a fresh Atlantic air mass. These factors concentrate trader consensus on the 16°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C as secondary contenders, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 14°C or upside above 18°C in the final 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$357Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler, cloudier conditions over Paris by August 20, with overnight lows most likely settling near 15–16°C after an earlier heatwave. Light winds, possible early sprinkles, and reduced daytime heating from increased cloud cover are limiting radiative warming while promoting modest nighttime cooling under a fresh Atlantic air mass. These factors concentrate trader consensus on the 16°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C as secondary contenders, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 14°C or upside above 18°C in the final 48-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання