Current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 11°C for Wellington on August 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and fresh southerly winds. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 11°C, reflecting typical mid-winter maritime influences that moderate daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 12°C. Cooler polar air outbreaks noted in recent days have kept overnight lows near 7°C, limiting afternoon recovery, while model consensus shows low risk of stronger warming or significant cooling that would shift probabilities toward 13°C or 10°C. Updated guidance on wind patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution will be key variables for traders monitoring any last adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
11°C 56%
12°C 31%
10°C 12%
13°C 3%
НОВЕ
$23,126 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,126 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
56%
12°C
31%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 56%
12°C 31%
10°C 12%
13°C 3%
НОВЕ
$23,126 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,126 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
$314 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$845 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$1,030 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$1,031 Обс.
2%
10°C
$2,918 Обс.
12%
11°C
$3,653 Обс.
56%
12°C
$7,703 Обс.
31%
13°C
$1,953 Обс.
3%
14°C
$1,120 Обс.
1%
15°C
$828 Обс.
<1%
16°C or higher
$1,831 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 11°C for Wellington on August 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and fresh southerly winds. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 11°C, reflecting typical mid-winter maritime influences that moderate daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 12°C. Cooler polar air outbreaks noted in recent days have kept overnight lows near 7°C, limiting afternoon recovery, while model consensus shows low risk of stronger warming or significant cooling that would shift probabilities toward 13°C or 10°C. Updated guidance on wind patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution will be key variables for traders monitoring any last adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,126Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 11°C for Wellington on August 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and fresh southerly winds. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 11°C, reflecting typical mid-winter maritime influences that moderate daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 12°C. Cooler polar air outbreaks noted in recent days have kept overnight lows near 7°C, limiting afternoon recovery, while model consensus shows low risk of stronger warming or significant cooling that would shift probabilities toward 13°C or 10°C. Updated guidance on wind patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution will be key variables for traders monitoring any last adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,126Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 11°C for Wellington on August 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and fresh southerly winds. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 11°C, reflecting typical mid-winter maritime influences that moderate daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 12°C. Cooler polar air outbreaks noted in recent days have kept overnight lows near 7°C, limiting afternoon recovery, while model consensus shows low risk of stronger warming or significant cooling that would shift probabilities toward 13°C or 10°C. Updated guidance on wind patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution will be key variables for traders monitoring any last adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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