Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping Manila's highest temperature on August 17 centered around 29°C in trader consensus. PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila show forecast highs of 29–32°C with 60% rain chances, consistent with seasonal patterns where monsoon moisture suppresses peak solar heating and caps daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Recent advisories for heavy rains through August 17 further support moderated temperatures, while model spreads and historical variability explain the clustered probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 17?
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
30°C 20%
27°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
30°C 20%
27°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$16 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$65 Обс.
1%
26°C
$319 Обс.
1%
27°C
$71 Обс.
6%
28°C
$112 Обс.
30%
29°C
$142 Обс.
39%
30°C
$43 Обс.
20%
31°C
$114 Обс.
5%
32°C
$175 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$45 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping Manila's highest temperature on August 17 centered around 29°C in trader consensus. PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila show forecast highs of 29–32°C with 60% rain chances, consistent with seasonal patterns where monsoon moisture suppresses peak solar heating and caps daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Recent advisories for heavy rains through August 17 further support moderated temperatures, while model spreads and historical variability explain the clustered probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,119Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping Manila's highest temperature on August 17 centered around 29°C in trader consensus. PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila show forecast highs of 29–32°C with 60% rain chances, consistent with seasonal patterns where monsoon moisture suppresses peak solar heating and caps daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Recent advisories for heavy rains through August 17 further support moderated temperatures, while model spreads and historical variability explain the clustered probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,119Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping Manila's highest temperature on August 17 centered around 29°C in trader consensus. PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila show forecast highs of 29–32°C with 60% rain chances, consistent with seasonal patterns where monsoon moisture suppresses peak solar heating and caps daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Recent advisories for heavy rains through August 17 further support moderated temperatures, while model spreads and historical variability explain the clustered probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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