Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, combined with Italy’s ongoing multi-week heatwave, anchors trader sentiment around 32–33 °C for Milan’s maximum on 17 August. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have produced daily peaks near 34–36 °C in the preceding days, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated thundery showers on the 17th introduce modest cooling that keeps lower-30s values competitive. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 28–30 °C, so the current anomaly supports elevated probabilities, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity explain the tight 32 °C versus 33 °C split. Updated high-resolution model outputs and local ARPA observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 17?
32°C 33%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
29°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
20%
32°C
33%
33°C
31%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
29°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$1 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1 Обс.
1%
29°C
$42 Обс.
8%
30°C
$98 Обс.
5%
31°C
$427 Обс.
20%
32°C
$112 Обс.
33%
33°C
$213 Обс.
31%
34°C
$138 Обс.
8%
35°C
$0 Обс.
4%
36°C
$20 Обс.
4%
37°C or higher
$394 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, combined with Italy’s ongoing multi-week heatwave, anchors trader sentiment around 32–33 °C for Milan’s maximum on 17 August. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have produced daily peaks near 34–36 °C in the preceding days, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated thundery showers on the 17th introduce modest cooling that keeps lower-30s values competitive. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 28–30 °C, so the current anomaly supports elevated probabilities, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity explain the tight 32 °C versus 33 °C split. Updated high-resolution model outputs and local ARPA observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,445Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, combined with Italy’s ongoing multi-week heatwave, anchors trader sentiment around 32–33 °C for Milan’s maximum on 17 August. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have produced daily peaks near 34–36 °C in the preceding days, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated thundery showers on the 17th introduce modest cooling that keeps lower-30s values competitive. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 28–30 °C, so the current anomaly supports elevated probabilities, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity explain the tight 32 °C versus 33 °C split. Updated high-resolution model outputs and local ARPA observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,445Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, combined with Italy’s ongoing multi-week heatwave, anchors trader sentiment around 32–33 °C for Milan’s maximum on 17 August. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have produced daily peaks near 34–36 °C in the preceding days, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated thundery showers on the 17th introduce modest cooling that keeps lower-30s values competitive. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 28–30 °C, so the current anomaly supports elevated probabilities, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity explain the tight 32 °C versus 33 °C split. Updated high-resolution model outputs and local ARPA observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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