Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, modest daytime heating, and light winds typical of late-summer conditions. These align with the August average high of 21°C and the observed range of 19–23°C across recent model runs, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible variations in cloud cover or advection that could shift the peak by 1°C, with updated high-resolution guidance expected before official resolution at the Schiphol station. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceeding 23°C this time of year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
23°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
52%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
23°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
$112 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1 Обс.
1%
18°C
$20 Обс.
5%
19°C
$5 Обс.
5%
20°C
$145 Обс.
15%
21°C
$156 Обс.
52%
22°C
$122 Обс.
23%
23°C
$24 Обс.
6%
24°C
$55 Обс.
3%
25°C
$15 Обс.
5%
26°C or higher
$131 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, modest daytime heating, and light winds typical of late-summer conditions. These align with the August average high of 21°C and the observed range of 19–23°C across recent model runs, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible variations in cloud cover or advection that could shift the peak by 1°C, with updated high-resolution guidance expected before official resolution at the Schiphol station. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceeding 23°C this time of year.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$631Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, modest daytime heating, and light winds typical of late-summer conditions. These align with the August average high of 21°C and the observed range of 19–23°C across recent model runs, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible variations in cloud cover or advection that could shift the peak by 1°C, with updated high-resolution guidance expected before official resolution at the Schiphol station. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceeding 23°C this time of year.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$631Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, modest daytime heating, and light winds typical of late-summer conditions. These align with the August average high of 21°C and the observed range of 19–23°C across recent model runs, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible variations in cloud cover or advection that could shift the peak by 1°C, with updated high-resolution guidance expected before official resolution at the Schiphol station. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceeding 23°C this time of year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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