Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of 28–29 °C (83–84 °F) for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This places the market-implied 26 °C outcome (52 %) slightly below the central tendency of recent model runs while the 27 °C share (30 %) captures the upper end of the consensus range. Late-August climatology shows progressive cooling from peak summer values, with historical daily highs averaging near 28 °C and limited heat-wave potential given stable high-pressure patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara. Ensemble spread remains modest, but small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2 °C; updated regional model guidance issued overnight will be the next key input for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
26°C 52%
27°C 31%
25°C 9%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
52%
27°C
31%
28°C
9%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
8%
26°C 52%
27°C 31%
25°C 9%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$214 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$44 Обс.
1%
23°C
$38 Обс.
1%
24°C
$45 Обс.
4%
25°C
$24 Обс.
9%
26°C
$160 Обс.
52%
27°C
$142 Обс.
31%
28°C
$114 Обс.
9%
29°C
$108 Обс.
6%
30°C
$295 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$15 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of 28–29 °C (83–84 °F) for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This places the market-implied 26 °C outcome (52 %) slightly below the central tendency of recent model runs while the 27 °C share (30 %) captures the upper end of the consensus range. Late-August climatology shows progressive cooling from peak summer values, with historical daily highs averaging near 28 °C and limited heat-wave potential given stable high-pressure patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara. Ensemble spread remains modest, but small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2 °C; updated regional model guidance issued overnight will be the next key input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,198Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of 28–29 °C (83–84 °F) for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This places the market-implied 26 °C outcome (52 %) slightly below the central tendency of recent model runs while the 27 °C share (30 %) captures the upper end of the consensus range. Late-August climatology shows progressive cooling from peak summer values, with historical daily highs averaging near 28 °C and limited heat-wave potential given stable high-pressure patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara. Ensemble spread remains modest, but small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2 °C; updated regional model guidance issued overnight will be the next key input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,198Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of 28–29 °C (83–84 °F) for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This places the market-implied 26 °C outcome (52 %) slightly below the central tendency of recent model runs while the 27 °C share (30 %) captures the upper end of the consensus range. Late-August climatology shows progressive cooling from peak summer values, with historical daily highs averaging near 28 °C and limited heat-wave potential given stable high-pressure patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara. Ensemble spread remains modest, but small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2 °C; updated regional model guidance issued overnight will be the next key input for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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