Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and TimeandDate models, converge on a daytime maximum near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, driven by a moderate high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as mid-August climatology typically features highs around 22°C following earlier summer warmth. Ensemble spreads show secondary support for 23–25°C, while 26°C+ probabilities remain low due to expected cooling from an approaching weak frontal boundary and higher humidity moderating peaks. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around these values without major shifts, though final resolution will hinge on observational data from Moscow’s VDNKh station and any last-minute convective activity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 45%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
15%
24°C
45%
25°C
21%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
7%
24°C 45%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Обс.
6%
20°C
$20 Обс.
6%
21°C
$20 Обс.
8%
22°C
$127 Обс.
7%
23°C
$143 Обс.
15%
24°C
$7 Обс.
45%
25°C
$10 Обс.
21%
26°C
$125 Обс.
9%
27°C
$126 Обс.
3%
28°C
$88 Обс.
6%
29°C or higher
$15 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and TimeandDate models, converge on a daytime maximum near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, driven by a moderate high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as mid-August climatology typically features highs around 22°C following earlier summer warmth. Ensemble spreads show secondary support for 23–25°C, while 26°C+ probabilities remain low due to expected cooling from an approaching weak frontal boundary and higher humidity moderating peaks. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around these values without major shifts, though final resolution will hinge on observational data from Moscow’s VDNKh station and any last-minute convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$688Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and TimeandDate models, converge on a daytime maximum near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, driven by a moderate high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as mid-August climatology typically features highs around 22°C following earlier summer warmth. Ensemble spreads show secondary support for 23–25°C, while 26°C+ probabilities remain low due to expected cooling from an approaching weak frontal boundary and higher humidity moderating peaks. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around these values without major shifts, though final resolution will hinge on observational data from Moscow’s VDNKh station and any last-minute convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$688Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and TimeandDate models, converge on a daytime maximum near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, driven by a moderate high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as mid-August climatology typically features highs around 22°C following earlier summer warmth. Ensemble spreads show secondary support for 23–25°C, while 26°C+ probabilities remain low due to expected cooling from an approaching weak frontal boundary and higher humidity moderating peaks. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around these values without major shifts, though final resolution will hinge on observational data from Moscow’s VDNKh station and any last-minute convective activity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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