Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the closely matched leading market outcomes. Persistent weak monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 70%, and the city's mountainous basin topography limit ventilation and enhance heat retention, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure further elevates daytime maxima above the historical August average near 34°C. Minor model divergences on convective cloud development or local wind patterns create the tight split between 37°C and 38°C implied probabilities, with updated CMA and satellite moisture data expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 17?
38°C 33%
37°C 32%
36°C 13%
39°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
32%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 33%
37°C 32%
36°C 13%
39°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
33°C or below
$303 Обс.
1%
34°C
$17 Обс.
3%
35°C
$12 Обс.
6%
36°C
$413 Обс.
13%
37°C
$822 Обс.
32%
38°C
$344 Обс.
33%
39°C
$170 Обс.
11%
40°C
$61 Обс.
4%
41°C
$90 Обс.
2%
42°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
43°C or higher
$243 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the closely matched leading market outcomes. Persistent weak monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 70%, and the city's mountainous basin topography limit ventilation and enhance heat retention, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure further elevates daytime maxima above the historical August average near 34°C. Minor model divergences on convective cloud development or local wind patterns create the tight split between 37°C and 38°C implied probabilities, with updated CMA and satellite moisture data expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,491Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the closely matched leading market outcomes. Persistent weak monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 70%, and the city's mountainous basin topography limit ventilation and enhance heat retention, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure further elevates daytime maxima above the historical August average near 34°C. Minor model divergences on convective cloud development or local wind patterns create the tight split between 37°C and 38°C implied probabilities, with updated CMA and satellite moisture data expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,491Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the closely matched leading market outcomes. Persistent weak monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 70%, and the city's mountainous basin topography limit ventilation and enhance heat retention, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure further elevates daytime maxima above the historical August average near 34°C. Minor model divergences on convective cloud development or local wind patterns create the tight split between 37°C and 38°C implied probabilities, with updated CMA and satellite moisture data expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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