Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Spanish Meteorological Agency and European models converge on a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 17 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, positioning 37°C as the market leader with 57.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have enhanced daytime radiative heating across the central plateau, elevating readings above the seasonal 32–34°C climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat-island effects or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or insolation that could shift the peak into the 38°C bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
37°C 57%
38°C 21%
36°C 19%
39°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
19%
37°C
57%
38°C
21%
39°C
7%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 57%
38°C 21%
36°C 19%
39°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
32°C or below
$24 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$24 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$33 Обс.
1%
35°C
$168 Обс.
4%
36°C
$656 Обс.
19%
37°C
$397 Обс.
57%
38°C
$553 Обс.
21%
39°C
$61 Обс.
7%
40°C
$15 Обс.
1%
41°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
42°C or higher
$94 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Spanish Meteorological Agency and European models converge on a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 17 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, positioning 37°C as the market leader with 57.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have enhanced daytime radiative heating across the central plateau, elevating readings above the seasonal 32–34°C climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat-island effects or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or insolation that could shift the peak into the 38°C bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,050Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Spanish Meteorological Agency and European models converge on a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 17 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, positioning 37°C as the market leader with 57.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have enhanced daytime radiative heating across the central plateau, elevating readings above the seasonal 32–34°C climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat-island effects or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or insolation that could shift the peak into the 38°C bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,050Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Spanish Meteorological Agency and European models converge on a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 17 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, positioning 37°C as the market leader with 57.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have enhanced daytime radiative heating across the central plateau, elevating readings above the seasonal 32–34°C climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat-island effects or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or insolation that could shift the peak into the 38°C bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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