Recent forecasts for Madrid indicate a modest cooldown from mid-week peaks near 38°C, with August 16 daytime maxima centered around 33–35°C under high-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight split between 35°C (42%) and 34°C (36.5%) reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and urban heat-island effects measured at the Retiro station. Clear solar heating favors the upper end, while any increase in low-level moisture or light showers could cap readings near 34°C. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance updates through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
35°C 42%
34°C 38%
33°C 13%
36°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
38%
35°C
42%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
35°C 42%
34°C 38%
33°C 13%
36°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
28°C
$5 Обс.
1%
29°C
$5 Обс.
1%
30°C
$5 Обс.
1%
31°C
$5 Обс.
1%
32°C
$10 Обс.
4%
33°C
$53 Обс.
13%
34°C
$14 Обс.
38%
35°C
$25 Обс.
42%
36°C
$38 Обс.
6%
37°C or higher
$13 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Madrid indicate a modest cooldown from mid-week peaks near 38°C, with August 16 daytime maxima centered around 33–35°C under high-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight split between 35°C (42%) and 34°C (36.5%) reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and urban heat-island effects measured at the Retiro station. Clear solar heating favors the upper end, while any increase in low-level moisture or light showers could cap readings near 34°C. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance updates through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$178Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Madrid indicate a modest cooldown from mid-week peaks near 38°C, with August 16 daytime maxima centered around 33–35°C under high-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight split between 35°C (42%) and 34°C (36.5%) reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and urban heat-island effects measured at the Retiro station. Clear solar heating favors the upper end, while any increase in low-level moisture or light showers could cap readings near 34°C. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance updates through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$178Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Madrid indicate a modest cooldown from mid-week peaks near 38°C, with August 16 daytime maxima centered around 33–35°C under high-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight split between 35°C (42%) and 34°C (36.5%) reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and urban heat-island effects measured at the Retiro station. Clear solar heating favors the upper end, while any increase in low-level moisture or light showers could cap readings near 34°C. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance updates through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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