Recent forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicates a ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting peak temperatures near 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover or precipitation, elevating the daily maximum above the seasonal average of roughly 22–23 °C. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat-island effects create tight differentiation between the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and narrow the market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
19%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$689 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$190 Обс.
2%
30°C
$280 Обс.
4%
31°C
$236 Обс.
8%
32°C
$58 Обс.
19%
33°C
$92 Обс.
32%
34°C
$34 Обс.
28%
35°C
$51 Обс.
9%
36°C
$110 Обс.
1%
37°C
$12 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$16 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicates a ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting peak temperatures near 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover or precipitation, elevating the daily maximum above the seasonal average of roughly 22–23 °C. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat-island effects create tight differentiation between the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and narrow the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,768Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicates a ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting peak temperatures near 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover or precipitation, elevating the daily maximum above the seasonal average of roughly 22–23 °C. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat-island effects create tight differentiation between the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and narrow the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,768Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicates a ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting peak temperatures near 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover or precipitation, elevating the daily maximum above the seasonal average of roughly 22–23 °C. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat-island effects create tight differentiation between the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and narrow the market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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