Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, driving the market’s heavy clustering on 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (25.5 %). Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep daily highs in this narrow range. Ensemble spreads and local boundary-layer variations create the tight distribution, as even small shifts in frontal timing or convective development could adjust the observed high by 1–2 °C. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
17°C 30%
18°C 27%
16°C 14%
19°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
14%
17°C
30%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
17°C 30%
18°C 27%
16°C 14%
19°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$21 Обс.
3%
14°C
$290 Обс.
5%
15°C
$3 Обс.
7%
16°C
$11 Обс.
14%
17°C
$258 Обс.
30%
18°C
$198 Обс.
27%
19°C
$123 Обс.
12%
20°C
$28 Обс.
3%
21°C
$10 Обс.
6%
22°C
$4 Обс.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, driving the market’s heavy clustering on 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (25.5 %). Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep daily highs in this narrow range. Ensemble spreads and local boundary-layer variations create the tight distribution, as even small shifts in frontal timing or convective development could adjust the observed high by 1–2 °C. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$951Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, driving the market’s heavy clustering on 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (25.5 %). Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep daily highs in this narrow range. Ensemble spreads and local boundary-layer variations create the tight distribution, as even small shifts in frontal timing or convective development could adjust the observed high by 1–2 °C. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$951Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, driving the market’s heavy clustering on 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (25.5 %). Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep daily highs in this narrow range. Ensemble spreads and local boundary-layer variations create the tight distribution, as even small shifts in frontal timing or convective development could adjust the observed high by 1–2 °C. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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