Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate persistent rainfall and increased cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, which will limit daytime solar heating and moderate maximum temperatures into the 27–29 °C range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values (22.5 % for 29 °C, 19.5 % for 28 °C, 15.5 % for 27 °C), reflecting trader assessment of monsoon-driven moisture and evaporative cooling effects. Historical August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs after early-month peaks, further reinforced by current wet conditions that reduce the likelihood of exceeding 30 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
29°C 30%
28°C 20%
26°C 13%
27°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
11%
28°C
20%
29°C
24%
30°C
10%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 30%
28°C 20%
26°C 13%
27°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$538 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$170 Обс.
1%
25°C
$159 Обс.
3%
26°C
$117 Обс.
13%
27°C
$219 Обс.
11%
28°C
$165 Обс.
20%
29°C
$25 Обс.
24%
30°C
$14 Обс.
10%
31°C
$0 Обс.
8%
32°C or higher
$51 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate persistent rainfall and increased cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, which will limit daytime solar heating and moderate maximum temperatures into the 27–29 °C range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values (22.5 % for 29 °C, 19.5 % for 28 °C, 15.5 % for 27 °C), reflecting trader assessment of monsoon-driven moisture and evaporative cooling effects. Historical August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs after early-month peaks, further reinforced by current wet conditions that reduce the likelihood of exceeding 30 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$933Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate persistent rainfall and increased cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, which will limit daytime solar heating and moderate maximum temperatures into the 27–29 °C range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values (22.5 % for 29 °C, 19.5 % for 28 °C, 15.5 % for 27 °C), reflecting trader assessment of monsoon-driven moisture and evaporative cooling effects. Historical August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs after early-month peaks, further reinforced by current wet conditions that reduce the likelihood of exceeding 30 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$933Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate persistent rainfall and increased cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, which will limit daytime solar heating and moderate maximum temperatures into the 27–29 °C range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values (22.5 % for 29 °C, 19.5 % for 28 °C, 15.5 % for 27 °C), reflecting trader assessment of monsoon-driven moisture and evaporative cooling effects. Historical August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs after early-month peaks, further reinforced by current wet conditions that reduce the likelihood of exceeding 30 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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