Recent European high-pressure ridging and subsidence warming have positioned 37–38°C as the market's leading outcomes for Paris's August 13 maximum, with Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance converging on mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating that support those levels. Trader consensus reflects the narrow spread in medium-range model runs, where slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August extremes in the Paris basin and the urban heat-island effect provide additional context for why probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than broader seasonal averages near 25°C. Updated model cycles through August 11 continue to anchor sentiment ahead of the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 13?
38°C 43%
37°C 24%
39°C 14%
36°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
12%
37°C
24%
38°C
43%
39°C
14%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
38°C 43%
37°C 24%
39°C 14%
36°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$12 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$12 Обс.
1%
35°C
$0 Обс.
6%
36°C
$0 Обс.
12%
37°C
$0 Обс.
24%
38°C
$72 Обс.
43%
39°C
$15 Обс.
14%
40°C
$9 Обс.
5%
41°C
$15 Обс.
2%
42°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European high-pressure ridging and subsidence warming have positioned 37–38°C as the market's leading outcomes for Paris's August 13 maximum, with Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance converging on mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating that support those levels. Trader consensus reflects the narrow spread in medium-range model runs, where slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August extremes in the Paris basin and the urban heat-island effect provide additional context for why probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than broader seasonal averages near 25°C. Updated model cycles through August 11 continue to anchor sentiment ahead of the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$157Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European high-pressure ridging and subsidence warming have positioned 37–38°C as the market's leading outcomes for Paris's August 13 maximum, with Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance converging on mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating that support those levels. Trader consensus reflects the narrow spread in medium-range model runs, where slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August extremes in the Paris basin and the urban heat-island effect provide additional context for why probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than broader seasonal averages near 25°C. Updated model cycles through August 11 continue to anchor sentiment ahead of the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$157Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European high-pressure ridging and subsidence warming have positioned 37–38°C as the market's leading outcomes for Paris's August 13 maximum, with Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance converging on mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating that support those levels. Trader consensus reflects the narrow spread in medium-range model runs, where slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August extremes in the Paris basin and the urban heat-island effect provide additional context for why probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than broader seasonal averages near 25°C. Updated model cycles through August 11 continue to anchor sentiment ahead of the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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