Recent model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show a building high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm advection to Amsterdam on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with 32 °C edging the market at 25.5 % implied probability. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing depth, precise easterly wind components that could enhance or suppress heating, and any thin cirrus that might trim peak insolation. Updated 12z model guidance and official KNMI forecasts expected tomorrow will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
32°C 26%
33°C 25%
31°C 18%
34°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
26%
33°C
25%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 26%
33°C 25%
31°C 18%
34°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$12 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$0 Обс.
5%
31°C
$0 Обс.
18%
32°C
$39 Обс.
26%
33°C
$98 Обс.
25%
34°C
$0 Обс.
9%
35°C
$0 Обс.
5%
36°C
$15 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show a building high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm advection to Amsterdam on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with 32 °C edging the market at 25.5 % implied probability. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing depth, precise easterly wind components that could enhance or suppress heating, and any thin cirrus that might trim peak insolation. Updated 12z model guidance and official KNMI forecasts expected tomorrow will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$181Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show a building high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm advection to Amsterdam on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with 32 °C edging the market at 25.5 % implied probability. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing depth, precise easterly wind components that could enhance or suppress heating, and any thin cirrus that might trim peak insolation. Updated 12z model guidance and official KNMI forecasts expected tomorrow will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$181Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show a building high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm advection to Amsterdam on August 13, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with 32 °C edging the market at 25.5 % implied probability. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing depth, precise easterly wind components that could enhance or suppress heating, and any thin cirrus that might trim peak insolation. Updated 12z model guidance and official KNMI forecasts expected tomorrow will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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