Recent forecasts from European models and the Met Office point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Amsterdam on August 12, underpinning the tight market split between those two outcomes. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest warming under light southerly flow, while proximity to the North Sea caps extremes through marine influence and potential afternoon sea breezes. Ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs show most members clustered near these values, with limited upside risk from stronger advection or downside from increased cloud or showers. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context for the elevated but not exceptional warmth, and traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to the 12 UTC initialization ahead of the short two-day horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
29°C 13%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
37%
28°C
32%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
29°C 13%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$12 Обс.
1%
24°C
$12 Обс.
2%
25°C
$5 Обс.
3%
26°C
$159 Обс.
11%
27°C
$86 Обс.
37%
28°C
$75 Обс.
32%
29°C
$31 Обс.
13%
30°C
$15 Обс.
5%
31°C
$27 Обс.
2%
32°C
$12 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and the Met Office point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Amsterdam on August 12, underpinning the tight market split between those two outcomes. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest warming under light southerly flow, while proximity to the North Sea caps extremes through marine influence and potential afternoon sea breezes. Ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs show most members clustered near these values, with limited upside risk from stronger advection or downside from increased cloud or showers. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context for the elevated but not exceptional warmth, and traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to the 12 UTC initialization ahead of the short two-day horizon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$446Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and the Met Office point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Amsterdam on August 12, underpinning the tight market split between those two outcomes. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest warming under light southerly flow, while proximity to the North Sea caps extremes through marine influence and potential afternoon sea breezes. Ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs show most members clustered near these values, with limited upside risk from stronger advection or downside from increased cloud or showers. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context for the elevated but not exceptional warmth, and traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to the 12 UTC initialization ahead of the short two-day horizon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$446Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models and the Met Office point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Amsterdam on August 12, underpinning the tight market split between those two outcomes. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest warming under light southerly flow, while proximity to the North Sea caps extremes through marine influence and potential afternoon sea breezes. Ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs show most members clustered near these values, with limited upside risk from stronger advection or downside from increased cloud or showers. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context for the elevated but not exceptional warmth, and traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to the 12 UTC initialization ahead of the short two-day horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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