Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a building high-pressure system driving warm southerly flow across southern England, pushing London's maximum temperature on August 10 toward 26–28 °C—well above the August climatological average of ~22 °C. Latest short-range runs cluster most members in this narrow band, with minor spread arising from variable cloud cover, timing of any weak fronts, and urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. This tight distribution underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27 °C while leaving room for 25 °C or 28 °C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing or insolation differs slightly from the control forecast. Traders will watch the next 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature anomaly or surface pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 10?
Highest temperature in London on August 10?
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
$86 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$72 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$79 Обс.
4%
25°C
$560 Обс.
19%
26°C
$103 Обс.
28%
27°C
$161 Обс.
32%
28°C
$118 Обс.
16%
29°C
$96 Обс.
7%
30°C
$101 Обс.
2%
31°C
$91 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$255 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a building high-pressure system driving warm southerly flow across southern England, pushing London's maximum temperature on August 10 toward 26–28 °C—well above the August climatological average of ~22 °C. Latest short-range runs cluster most members in this narrow band, with minor spread arising from variable cloud cover, timing of any weak fronts, and urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. This tight distribution underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27 °C while leaving room for 25 °C or 28 °C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing or insolation differs slightly from the control forecast. Traders will watch the next 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature anomaly or surface pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,723Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a building high-pressure system driving warm southerly flow across southern England, pushing London's maximum temperature on August 10 toward 26–28 °C—well above the August climatological average of ~22 °C. Latest short-range runs cluster most members in this narrow band, with minor spread arising from variable cloud cover, timing of any weak fronts, and urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. This tight distribution underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27 °C while leaving room for 25 °C or 28 °C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing or insolation differs slightly from the control forecast. Traders will watch the next 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature anomaly or surface pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,723Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a building high-pressure system driving warm southerly flow across southern England, pushing London's maximum temperature on August 10 toward 26–28 °C—well above the August climatological average of ~22 °C. Latest short-range runs cluster most members in this narrow band, with minor spread arising from variable cloud cover, timing of any weak fronts, and urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. This tight distribution underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27 °C while leaving room for 25 °C or 28 °C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing or insolation differs slightly from the control forecast. Traders will watch the next 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature anomaly or surface pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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