Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Incheon on August 10, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer humidity and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating maritime influence compared with inland Seoul sites. Model consensus shows limited spread in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures, keeping the 23°C or 26°C bands at lower implied probabilities. Updated KMA guidance and any revisions to cloud or precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
25°C 46%
26°C 26%
24°C 19%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
37%
25°C
46%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 46%
26°C 26%
24°C 19%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
$27 Обс.
1%
20°C
$27 Обс.
1%
21°C
$32 Обс.
1%
22°C
$6 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
8%
24°C
$25 Обс.
37%
25°C
$0 Обс.
46%
26°C
$0 Обс.
26%
27°C
$6 Обс.
8%
28°C
$32 Обс.
9%
29°C or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Incheon on August 10, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer humidity and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating maritime influence compared with inland Seoul sites. Model consensus shows limited spread in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures, keeping the 23°C or 26°C bands at lower implied probabilities. Updated KMA guidance and any revisions to cloud or precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$183Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Incheon on August 10, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer humidity and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating maritime influence compared with inland Seoul sites. Model consensus shows limited spread in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures, keeping the 23°C or 26°C bands at lower implied probabilities. Updated KMA guidance and any revisions to cloud or precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$183Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Incheon on August 10, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer humidity and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating maritime influence compared with inland Seoul sites. Model consensus shows limited spread in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures, keeping the 23°C or 26°C bands at lower implied probabilities. Updated KMA guidance and any revisions to cloud or precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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