Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a peak temperature near 36–37°C in Wuhan on August 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. This reflects typical midsummer subtropical monsoon conditions, where daytime heating combines with high humidity and light winds to produce maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 32°C. Updated model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and potential weak frontal influences, keeping lower or higher extremes (below 35°C or 38°C+) at reduced probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus ahead of final verification from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 8?
37°C 30%
36°C 25%
35°C 14%
38°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
14%
36°C
25%
37°C
30%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 30%
36°C 25%
35°C 14%
38°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$141 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$77 Обс.
1%
33°C
$15 Обс.
2%
34°C
$10 Обс.
5%
35°C
$3 Обс.
14%
36°C
$0 Обс.
25%
37°C
$15 Обс.
30%
38°C
$26 Обс.
10%
39°C
$12 Обс.
3%
40°C
$14 Обс.
2%
41°C or higher
$7 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a peak temperature near 36–37°C in Wuhan on August 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. This reflects typical midsummer subtropical monsoon conditions, where daytime heating combines with high humidity and light winds to produce maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 32°C. Updated model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and potential weak frontal influences, keeping lower or higher extremes (below 35°C or 38°C+) at reduced probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus ahead of final verification from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$321Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a peak temperature near 36–37°C in Wuhan on August 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. This reflects typical midsummer subtropical monsoon conditions, where daytime heating combines with high humidity and light winds to produce maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 32°C. Updated model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and potential weak frontal influences, keeping lower or higher extremes (below 35°C or 38°C+) at reduced probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus ahead of final verification from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$321Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a peak temperature near 36–37°C in Wuhan on August 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. This reflects typical midsummer subtropical monsoon conditions, where daytime heating combines with high humidity and light winds to produce maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 32°C. Updated model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and potential weak frontal influences, keeping lower or higher extremes (below 35°C or 38°C+) at reduced probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus ahead of final verification from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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