Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Tokyo’s August 8 overnight low because JMA forecasts a 25°C minimum under partly cloudy skies, yet persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect—retaining warmth in concrete and asphalt—typically limit radiative cooling below model guidance. Elevated moisture reduces the diurnal temperature range by suppressing longwave heat loss, while light winds and scattered cloud cover further moderate overnight drops. Historical August patterns show actual lows frequently 1–2°C above climatological normals of 23–24°C during humid periods. Updated ensemble runs and real-time observations will clarify whether stronger cooling can reach 25°C or if residual heat keeps readings at 26–27°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
26°C 48%
27°C 46%
24°C 8%
25°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
48%
27°C
46%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 46%
24°C 8%
25°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$170 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$174 Обс.
1%
23°C
$93 Обс.
1%
24°C
$380 Обс.
8%
25°C
$105 Обс.
6%
26°C
$320 Обс.
48%
27°C
$1,350 Обс.
46%
28°C
$97 Обс.
4%
29°C
$151 Обс.
1%
30°C
$63 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$313 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Tokyo’s August 8 overnight low because JMA forecasts a 25°C minimum under partly cloudy skies, yet persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect—retaining warmth in concrete and asphalt—typically limit radiative cooling below model guidance. Elevated moisture reduces the diurnal temperature range by suppressing longwave heat loss, while light winds and scattered cloud cover further moderate overnight drops. Historical August patterns show actual lows frequently 1–2°C above climatological normals of 23–24°C during humid periods. Updated ensemble runs and real-time observations will clarify whether stronger cooling can reach 25°C or if residual heat keeps readings at 26–27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,217Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Tokyo’s August 8 overnight low because JMA forecasts a 25°C minimum under partly cloudy skies, yet persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect—retaining warmth in concrete and asphalt—typically limit radiative cooling below model guidance. Elevated moisture reduces the diurnal temperature range by suppressing longwave heat loss, while light winds and scattered cloud cover further moderate overnight drops. Historical August patterns show actual lows frequently 1–2°C above climatological normals of 23–24°C during humid periods. Updated ensemble runs and real-time observations will clarify whether stronger cooling can reach 25°C or if residual heat keeps readings at 26–27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,217Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Tokyo’s August 8 overnight low because JMA forecasts a 25°C minimum under partly cloudy skies, yet persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect—retaining warmth in concrete and asphalt—typically limit radiative cooling below model guidance. Elevated moisture reduces the diurnal temperature range by suppressing longwave heat loss, while light winds and scattered cloud cover further moderate overnight drops. Historical August patterns show actual lows frequently 1–2°C above climatological normals of 23–24°C during humid periods. Updated ensemble runs and real-time observations will clarify whether stronger cooling can reach 25°C or if residual heat keeps readings at 26–27°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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