Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 7 maximum near 35–37 °C, supported by persistent warm advection, high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, and light southerly flow ahead of the Beginning of Autumn solar term. Afternoon thunderstorm potential introduces downward pressure on peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects could locally elevate observations. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight modest uncertainty around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs occasionally exceed 35 °C but rarely reach 39 °C without strong blocking patterns. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
36°C 27%
35°C 26%
37°C 21%
38°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
26%
36°C
27%
37°C
21%
38°C
18%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
2%
36°C 27%
35°C 26%
37°C 21%
38°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
32°C
$19 Обс.
3%
33°C
$0 Обс.
5%
34°C
$2 Обс.
13%
35°C
$0 Обс.
26%
36°C
$0 Обс.
27%
37°C
$5 Обс.
21%
38°C
$8 Обс.
18%
39°C
$9 Обс.
4%
40°C
$0 Обс.
2%
41°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 7 maximum near 35–37 °C, supported by persistent warm advection, high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, and light southerly flow ahead of the Beginning of Autumn solar term. Afternoon thunderstorm potential introduces downward pressure on peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects could locally elevate observations. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight modest uncertainty around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs occasionally exceed 35 °C but rarely reach 39 °C without strong blocking patterns. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 7 maximum near 35–37 °C, supported by persistent warm advection, high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, and light southerly flow ahead of the Beginning of Autumn solar term. Afternoon thunderstorm potential introduces downward pressure on peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects could locally elevate observations. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight modest uncertainty around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs occasionally exceed 35 °C but rarely reach 39 °C without strong blocking patterns. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 7 maximum near 35–37 °C, supported by persistent warm advection, high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, and light southerly flow ahead of the Beginning of Autumn solar term. Afternoon thunderstorm potential introduces downward pressure on peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects could locally elevate observations. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight modest uncertainty around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs occasionally exceed 35 °C but rarely reach 39 °C without strong blocking patterns. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання