Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris under a weakening high-pressure ridge with moderating southerly flow, supporting a most probable daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 5. Model consensus is tight on timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, yet small differences in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the observed high by 1 °C. The urban heat-island effect at central Paris stations typically adds 1–2 °C relative to suburban sites, tightening the distribution between the two leading outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for 27 °C or 30 °C if a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud deck develops. Updated model runs and the next official vigilance bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 5?
28°C 39%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
39%
29°C
33%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$230 Обс.
1%
25°C
$41 Обс.
3%
26°C
$87 Обс.
6%
27°C
$260 Обс.
18%
28°C
$472 Обс.
39%
29°C
$216 Обс.
33%
30°C
$102 Обс.
10%
31°C
$177 Обс.
4%
32°C
$120 Обс.
2%
33°C
$80 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$166 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris under a weakening high-pressure ridge with moderating southerly flow, supporting a most probable daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 5. Model consensus is tight on timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, yet small differences in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the observed high by 1 °C. The urban heat-island effect at central Paris stations typically adds 1–2 °C relative to suburban sites, tightening the distribution between the two leading outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for 27 °C or 30 °C if a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud deck develops. Updated model runs and the next official vigilance bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,951Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris under a weakening high-pressure ridge with moderating southerly flow, supporting a most probable daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 5. Model consensus is tight on timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, yet small differences in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the observed high by 1 °C. The urban heat-island effect at central Paris stations typically adds 1–2 °C relative to suburban sites, tightening the distribution between the two leading outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for 27 °C or 30 °C if a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud deck develops. Updated model runs and the next official vigilance bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,951Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris under a weakening high-pressure ridge with moderating southerly flow, supporting a most probable daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 5. Model consensus is tight on timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, yet small differences in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the observed high by 1 °C. The urban heat-island effect at central Paris stations typically adds 1–2 °C relative to suburban sites, tightening the distribution between the two leading outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for 27 °C or 30 °C if a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud deck develops. Updated model runs and the next official vigilance bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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