Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 4 point to a daily maximum near 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with daytime highs tempered by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Numerical models show limited consensus on the precise peak, as southeasterly flow and high humidity could cap readings at 28–29°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30–31°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on those values. Seasonal outlooks favor normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic conditions introduce uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
29%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
$627 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$637 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$263 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$458 Обс.
1%
27°C
$388 Обс.
9%
28°C
$898 Обс.
29%
29°C
$351 Обс.
34%
30°C
$637 Обс.
22%
31°C
$339 Обс.
7%
32°C
$413 Обс.
3%
33°C or higher
$381 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 4 point to a daily maximum near 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with daytime highs tempered by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Numerical models show limited consensus on the precise peak, as southeasterly flow and high humidity could cap readings at 28–29°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30–31°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on those values. Seasonal outlooks favor normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic conditions introduce uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,391Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 4 point to a daily maximum near 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with daytime highs tempered by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Numerical models show limited consensus on the precise peak, as southeasterly flow and high humidity could cap readings at 28–29°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30–31°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on those values. Seasonal outlooks favor normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic conditions introduce uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,391Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 4 point to a daily maximum near 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with daytime highs tempered by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Numerical models show limited consensus on the precise peak, as southeasterly flow and high humidity could cap readings at 28–29°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30–31°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on those values. Seasonal outlooks favor normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic conditions introduce uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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