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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

28°C 34%

29°C 29%

27°C 17%

30°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

28°C 34%

29°C 29%

27°C 17%

30°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

22°C or below

$797 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$11 Обс.

<1%

24°C

$562 Обс.

1%

25°C

$86 Обс.

1%

26°C

$112 Обс.

4%

27°C

$171 Обс.

17%

28°C

$134 Обс.

34%

29°C

$590 Обс.

29%

30°C

$298 Обс.

9%

31°C

$362 Обс.

5%

32°C or higher

$83 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,206
Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,206
Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Пов'язане

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «28°C» з 34%, далі «29°C» з 28%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» — «28°C» з 34%. Наступний — «29°C» з 28%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.