**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 4, reflecting the city’s August climatology of average highs near 32°C amid below-normal monsoon rainfall projected for Sindh.** Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate persistent above-normal temperatures and reduced cloud cover or precipitation in southern plains, supporting modest warming relative to long-term norms. Daily variability within the typical 31–34°C envelope, combined with limited intensification from current steering patterns, explains the heavy weighting toward 33°C. Model consensus and recent agency guidance show low probability of extremes outside this band, as monsoon suppression has not yet produced sustained heatwave conditions in coastal Karachi. Updated forecasts through the coming days will refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 4?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 4?
33°C 43%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
35°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
21%
33°C
43%
34°C
29%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 43%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
35°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
$513 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$154 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$138 Обс.
3%
31°C
$135 Обс.
4%
32°C
$272 Обс.
21%
33°C
$334 Обс.
43%
34°C
$357 Обс.
29%
35°C
$140 Обс.
5%
36°C
$23 Обс.
3%
37°C or higher
$147 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 4, reflecting the city’s August climatology of average highs near 32°C amid below-normal monsoon rainfall projected for Sindh.** Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate persistent above-normal temperatures and reduced cloud cover or precipitation in southern plains, supporting modest warming relative to long-term norms. Daily variability within the typical 31–34°C envelope, combined with limited intensification from current steering patterns, explains the heavy weighting toward 33°C. Model consensus and recent agency guidance show low probability of extremes outside this band, as monsoon suppression has not yet produced sustained heatwave conditions in coastal Karachi. Updated forecasts through the coming days will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,353Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 4, reflecting the city’s August climatology of average highs near 32°C amid below-normal monsoon rainfall projected for Sindh.** Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate persistent above-normal temperatures and reduced cloud cover or precipitation in southern plains, supporting modest warming relative to long-term norms. Daily variability within the typical 31–34°C envelope, combined with limited intensification from current steering patterns, explains the heavy weighting toward 33°C. Model consensus and recent agency guidance show low probability of extremes outside this band, as monsoon suppression has not yet produced sustained heatwave conditions in coastal Karachi. Updated forecasts through the coming days will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,353Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 4, reflecting the city’s August climatology of average highs near 32°C amid below-normal monsoon rainfall projected for Sindh.** Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate persistent above-normal temperatures and reduced cloud cover or precipitation in southern plains, supporting modest warming relative to long-term norms. Daily variability within the typical 31–34°C envelope, combined with limited intensification from current steering patterns, explains the heavy weighting toward 33°C. Model consensus and recent agency guidance show low probability of extremes outside this band, as monsoon suppression has not yet produced sustained heatwave conditions in coastal Karachi. Updated forecasts through the coming days will refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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