Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 3?
35°C 44%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
22%
35°C
44%
36°C
27%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 44%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
$152 Обс.
2%
33°C
$13 Обс.
4%
34°C
$294 Обс.
22%
35°C
$184 Обс.
44%
36°C
$10 Обс.
27%
37°C
$138 Обс.
6%
38°C
$341 Обс.
2%
39°C
$65 Обс.
1%
40°C
$58 Обс.
1%
41°C
$84 Обс.
<1%
42°C or higher
$499 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,011Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,011Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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