Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
12°C 41%
13°C 40%
11°C 10%
14°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
10%
12°C
41%
13°C
40%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 40%
11°C 10%
14°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
$248 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$248 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$109 Обс.
4%
11°C
$207 Обс.
10%
12°C
$281 Обс.
41%
13°C
$295 Обс.
40%
14°C
$344 Обс.
10%
15°C
$100 Обс.
2%
16°C or higher
$152 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,006Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,006Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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