Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 31?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 31?
24°C 27%
23°C 22%
25°C 18%
22°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
18%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 27%
23°C 22%
25°C 18%
22°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
19°C
$15 Обс.
2%
20°C
$23 Обс.
4%
21°C
$41 Обс.
12%
22°C
$0 Обс.
18%
23°C
$26 Обс.
22%
24°C
$4 Обс.
27%
25°C
$12 Обс.
18%
26°C
$124 Обс.
6%
27°C
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$249Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$249Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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